A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: by Gary King PDF

By Gary King

This ebook presents an answer to the ecological inference challenge, which has plagued clients of statistical tools for over seventy-five years: How can researchers reliably infer individual-level habit from combination (ecological) info? In political technology, this question arises while individual-level surveys are unavailable (for example, neighborhood or comparative electoral politics), unreliable (racial politics), inadequate (political geography), or infeasible (political history). This ecological inference challenge additionally confronts researchers in several components of significant importance in public coverage, and different educational disciplines, starting from epidemiology and advertising to sociology and quantitative historical past. even though many have tried to make such cross-level inferences, students agree that every one latest tools yield very misguided conclusions in regards to the global. during this quantity, Gary King lays out a unique--and reliable--solution to this venerable problem.

King starts off with a qualitative evaluation, readable even by means of these with no statistical history. He then unifies the it seems that varied findings within the methodological literature, in order that just one aggregation challenge continues to be solved. He then offers his resolution, in addition to empirical reviews of the answer that come with over 16,000 comparisons of his estimates from actual mixture info to the identified individual-level solution. the strategy works in practice.

King's approach to the ecological inference challenge will permit empirical researchers to enquire considerable questions that experience heretofore proved unanswerable, and movement ahead fields of inquiry within which growth has been stifled by way of this problem.

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A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Reconstructing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data by Gary King

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